Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 9.374773e-04 0.001078 0.001219 0.001373 0.001535 0.001698 0.001877
2025-08-17 7.025055e-04 0.000899 0.001106 0.001338 0.001588 0.001847 0.002136
2025-08-24 4.867771e-04 0.000713 0.000963 0.001253 0.001574 0.001915 0.002300
2025-08-31 3.562752e-04 0.000605 0.000892 0.001236 0.001626 0.002047 0.002529
2025-09-07 2.684590e-04 0.000533 0.000855 0.001251 0.001708 0.002207 0.002785
2025-09-14 1.754148e-04 0.000439 0.000781 0.001215 0.001727 0.002295 0.002959
2025-09-21 1.253703e-04 0.000394 0.000760 0.001238 0.001811 0.002452 0.003206
2025-09-28 9.731353e-05 0.000374 0.000770 0.001297 0.001933 0.002651 0.003499
2025-10-05 5.816082e-05 0.000325 0.000736 0.001297 0.001985 0.002767 0.003697
2025-10-12 3.406712e-05 0.000294 0.000722 0.001319 0.002061 0.002910 0.003924
2025-10-19 1.063406e-05 0.000245 0.000678 0.001301 0.002085 0.002991 0.004078
2025-10-26 2.108409e-07 0.000203 0.000639 0.001285 0.002112 0.003072 0.004232
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000126 0.000544 0.001208 0.002080 0.003110 0.004365
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000079 0.000485 0.001176 0.002105 0.003216 0.004578
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000031 0.000399 0.001097 0.002068 0.003245 0.004704
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000011 0.000359 0.001082 0.002110 0.003370 0.004940
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000002 0.000339 0.001096 0.002190 0.003540 0.005228
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000294 0.001063 0.002204 0.003628 0.005419
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001085 0.002292 0.003805 0.005715
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000290 0.001140 0.002424 0.004037 0.006075
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000268 0.001141 0.002480 0.004174 0.006320
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001162 0.002565 0.004345 0.006606
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000229 0.001144 0.002593 0.004445 0.006806